The Miami Heat and the Milwaukee Bucks will square off in Game 5 of a best-of-seven series in the 2020 NBA Playoffs on Tuesday. The Heat will be looking to finish off the Bucks, while Milwaukee will aim to stay alive after digging a 3-1 hole in the series. Giannis Antetokounmpo (ankle) is listed as questionable for the Bucks after missing the majority of Game 4. On Miami’s side, Kelly Olynyk (knee), Tyler Herro (hip) and Jae Crowder (ankle) are officially listed as questionable.
Tip-off is at 6:30 p.m. ET in Orlando. The latest Bucks vs. Heat odds from William Hill list Miami as a three-point favorite. The over-under for total points expected is 217.5. Before making any Heat vs. Bucks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it’s already returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks this season. It entered the week on a blistering 61-33 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $2,500 on those picks alone. It’s also a sizzling 11-3 on top-rated picks since the NBA’s restart in July. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Bucks vs. Heat spread: Heat -3
- Bucks vs. Heat over-under: 217.5 points
- Bucks vs. Heat money line: Heat -165, Bucks +145
- MIL: The Bucks are 4-5-1 against the spread in the last 10 games
- MIA: The Heat are 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Bucks can cover
The Bucks have a formidable defense, as evidenced by their regular season success. Milwaukee led the NBA in points allowed per possession in the regular season, and the Bucks also had the top-rated team in both defensive rebounding and shooting efficiency allowed. In this series, the sledding has been difficult for Mike Budenholzer’s team, but there were strides made in Game 4. The Bucks are also No. 2 in the NBA Playoffs 2020 in defensive rebounding, capitalizing on a size advantage, and that could be a key edge in Game 5.
Offensively, Khris Middleton is averaging 26.0 points and 7.3 assists per game in the series, and he was one of the best offensive wings in the NBA this season. The Bucks enjoyed success when forcing Miami to switch smaller defenders onto Middleton in Game 4, with an increased emphasis on that particular avenue if Antetokounmpo is unable to play on Tuesday.
Why the Heat can cover
Jimmy Butler has been electric for the Heat in this series, operating as arguably the best player on the floor in the first four games. The All-Star wing is averaging 25.0 points, 4.8 rebounds and 4.0 assists per game, with two 30-point performances already in the series. Butler is flanked by Bam Adebayo, with the talented big man averaging 15.0 points, 11.3 rebounds and an impressive 5.3 assists per game against Milwaukee.
That duo leads the way, but Miami is a tremendous two-way team, ranking in the top four in both offensive and defensive rating in the NBA Playoffs. The Heat are an excellent passing team, generating an assist on 66.1 percent of made shots in the playoffs, and Miami is also taking care of the ball well, committing a turnover on only 13.9 percent of possessions in their first eight playoff games.
How to make Bucks vs. Heat picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with Donte DiVincenzo and Goran Dragic projected to exceed their regular-season scoring averages. It also says one side of the spread had all the value. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Bucks vs. Heat? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Heat vs. Bucks spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $5,000 on its top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.