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Why Bernie Sanders is the current favorite for the Democratic nomination

(CNN)The Democratic presidential race is about to enter hyper speed — and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders is currently in the driver’s seat. Much attention has been paid to former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg’s recent surge, but Sanders has built out a clear national lead and is the favorite ahead of the Super Tuesday primaries…

(CNN)The Democratic presidential race is about to enter hyper speed — and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders is currently in the driver’s seat.

Much attention has been paid to former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg’s recent surge, but Sanders has built out a clear national lead and is the favorite ahead of the Super Tuesday primaries on March 3.
Sanders is leading in the vast majority of national polls right now. He hit 31% in an NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist College poll out on Tuesday. That was 12 points ahead of Bloomberg, and it is Sanders’ best national poll of the campaign that meets CNN’s standards so far. Sanders is up to about 25% in the average poll, which is his high watermark in the average since former Vice President Joe Biden declared his candidacy last year.
Sanders looks strong ahead of the Nevada caucuses on Saturday. The polling widely differs from pollster to pollster, but Sanders holds an advantage in the average poll. Sanders has about a three in five chance of winning based on the predictiveness of Nevada polling in past years. All other candidates have less than a one in five shot, and all but Biden have a one in 10 shot or less.
A win in Nevada would mean that Sanders basically tied or won every single primary so far. Remember, no candidate has won either party’s nomination without coming in first or second in New Hampshire in the modern primary era.
Now, there is an argument to be made that Sanders may have a ceiling of support nationally. Although he was up to 31% in the Marist poll, his 25% in the average polls looks an awful bit like the 26% he earned in Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary. Late deciders in both of those contests went overwhelmingly for the other candidates suggesting undecided voters may flow against Sanders nationally.
Still, Sanders is very well liked nationwide. His favorable rating among potential Democratic primary voters was 76% in a Quinnipiac University poll taken after Iowa voted, and Sander

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